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A new chemistry for the hydrocarbon economy.

Aduro Clean Technologies uses an aqueous platform — water as the reaction medium, a renewable hydrogen-donor, and a simple metal catalyst — to selectively cut hydrocarbon chains at moderate temperature. No external H₂ gas. No brute-force thermal cracking. One platform, thirteen market verticals, no direct competitor. This hub is the full investment case: the science, the moat, the markets, a live scenario model, and the milestones between here and commercialization.

Share Price
$11.58
Pre-revenue · Pilot stage
Market Cap
~$450M
Fully diluted · 38.9M shares
Cash (Q3 FY26)
C$39.4M
Zero debt · ~2.5 yr runway
Scenario Price
$84
6 engines · live model
Now · Phase I
Validation
2024–2027 · Pilot + FOAK
Phase II
Early Adoption
2027–2030 · 5–10 plants
Phase III
Acceleration
2030–2035 · 10–50 plants
Phase IV
Platform Standard
2035+ · 50–200+ plants
H₂O · reaction mediumMM · metal catalystCOCH₃OH · H-donor01 · FEEDSTOCK + H-DONOR IN AQUEOUS MEDIUMWater transfers heat & transports co-agents240–390 °C<2% char · no H₂
240–390°C
Temperature
C5–C20
Output Range
<2%
Char Waste
98%+
Purity
§ Competitive Position
Different chemistry, different outcome
Side-by-side against pyrolysis, coking, gasification, and mechanical recycling across the dimensions that matter to economics and regulatory compliance.

Existing hydrocarbon processing technologies all share one flaw: they use temperature as their only tool, which breaks molecules randomly. HCT uses chemistry — a metal catalyst coordinates to specific C–C bonds while a renewable hydrogen donor caps the broken ends in situ, all in an aqueous medium at moderate temperature. The result is qualitatively different output with dramatically different economics.

DimensionHCT (Aduro)PyrolysisCokingGasificationMechanical
Process temperature240–390°C400–600°C450–520°C700–1,400°CAmbient
Lower temperature → higher selectivity, less char, less energy
Char / waste output<2%15–30%20–30%10–20%N/A
Char is disposal cost; lower is structurally better economics
Output qualityC5–C20 saturatedMixed oils + waxesCoker gasolineSyngasPellets
HCT output is directly cracker-feedstock compatible
Mixed / dirty plastics✓ NativeLimited (clean PE/PP)✓ (expensive)
70–75% of waste is mixed. Only HCT and gasification handle it economically
Heavy / sour crude✓ Direct✓ (expensive)
HCT replaces cokers for many heavy feedstocks
Crosslinked (PEX/XLPE)✓ 84% yield
Effectively zero competing technology
Synthetic turf + PFASPartial
HCT is the only demonstrated solution for the infill crisis
Capital modelLicensee-fundedOwner-operatedOwner-operatedOwner-operatedOwner-operated
Aduro scales without capex; IP-royalty model (Qualcomm / ARM)
§ Deep dive

Where the economics actually diverge

The summary table shows that HCT differs from thermal processes on most dimensions. The five sections below quantify what that difference is worth in operator economics — and therefore in how much royalty Aduro can defensibly charge for each licensed plant.

01
The hydrotreating tax

Pyrolysis oil cannot be sold, used, or processed by any steam cracker without first being hydrotreated. Hydrotreating uses high-pressure hydrogen (~$1–2/kg gray, $3–6/kg green) at 300–400°C with expensive catalysts to remove sulfur, chlorine, nitrogen, and oxygen, and to saturate the reactive olefins. Cost runs roughly $400 per ton of pyrolysis oil processed. This is not optional — no refinery or cracker will accept untreated pyrolysis oil because the contaminants would poison their catalysts and corrode their equipment.

HCT output is already saturated and contaminant-free by virtue of the water chemistry. It skips the hydrotreating step entirely. Even if HCT and pyrolysis produced identical liquid volumes, HCT output is worth ~$400/ton more because the buyer does not need to hydrotreat it. On a 25,000 tpa plant that is $10M/yr in avoided hydrotreating cost for the operator — a margin that directly supports Aduro's ability to charge a royalty premium.

Hydrotreating cost (pyrolysis)
~$400/ton
Operator savings @ 25K tpa
~$10M/yr
Required for HCT
No
02
All-in capital cost

Published capex numbers for competing technologies typically cite only the core reactor. True all-in cost — including the hydrotreating unit and feedstock-sorting infrastructure pyrolysis actually requires — is 3–10× higher per ton of annual capacity. PureCycle's Ironton, Ohio facility (~48,500 tpa, polypropylene only) cost $509M, or roughly $10,500 per ton of annual capacity. HCT's modular 25,000 tpa design, by contrast, is estimated at $15–25M all-in because it needs no separate hydrogen plant, no hydrotreater, and no complex sorting infrastructure.

TechnologyPlant costAnnual capacity$/ton capacity
HCT (estimated, modular)$15–25M25,000 tpa$600–1,000
Pyrolysis (all-in: reactor + hydrotreater + sort)$90–200M20–40K tpa$2,500–5,000
PureCycle (Ironton, PP only)$509M48,500 tpa~$10,500
Coking (delayed coker, barrel-scale)$1–4B50–200K bpdn/a (barrel-basis)
HCT plant cost is a third-party estimate based on conventional equipment; FOAK cost not publicly disclosed. Pyrolysis all-in bundles the reactor ($30–80M), mandatory hydrotreater ($50–100M), and feedstock sorting ($10–20M).
03
Operational uptime

The water-based chemistry prevents the coking and fouling that causes shutdowns in thermal systems. Low char formation (<2%) means minimal reactor cleaning. HCT targets 90%+ commercial uptime (8,000+ hours per year) based on pilot data across 240+ continuous runs. Pyrolysis plants, by contrast, have historically achieved only 50–70% uptime due to char accumulation that forces shutdowns every 2–4 weeks for cleaning. A pyrolysis plant running 60% of the time produces only 60% of projected revenue — a reality that financial models often ignore.

HCT target uptime
90%+
~8,000+ hrs/yr
Pyrolysis observed
50–70%
char shutdowns every 2–4 wks
Revenue impact vs plan
−30%
at 70% uptime on 100% model
04
Circularity vs downcycling

HCT output is naphtha. It enters a steam cracker and produces ethylene and propylene — the same monomers used to make virgin plastic. A plastic made from HCT-derived naphtha is chemically identical to plastic made from fossil naphtha. That plastic can be recycled through HCT again without limit: waste → naphtha → virgin-quality plastic → waste → repeat, with no quality degradation at any point in the cycle. The chemistry resets the material to its molecular building blocks every time.

Mechanical recycling, the dominant alternative, is fundamentally not circular. Each melt cycle shortens polymer chains. Maximum practical cycles before quality forces disposal: 1–3 for polyolefins, 2–4 for PET. The industry term is "downcycling" because material always moves to lower-value applications: food-grade bottle → non-food bottle → fiber → carpet backing → landfill. Pyrolysis can, in theory, feed plastic back into new plastic production via cracker feed, but the economics of hydrotreating and cracker qualification make it marginal; in practice, much pyrolysis oil ends up blended into fuel, which is a linear pathway, not circular.

HCT
True circular
Unlimited cycles · no quality loss
Pyrolysis
Often linear
Oil frequently sold as fuel
Mechanical
1–4 cycles
Downcycling, then landfill
05
Pre-processing cost

Pyrolysis requires a full pre-processing chain before plastic can even enter the reactor: receive bales, break open, remove metals, wash, dry (moisture kills yield), sort by polymer with NIR sensors, remove PVC (corrosive), remove PET (oxygen degrades oil), densify and pelletize. Cost: $50–150 per ton depending on incoming feedstock quality. Many pyrolysis operators spend more on feedstock preparation than on the actual reactor. Cheap "mixed plastic waste" at $0/ton becomes expensive "pyrolysis-grade feedstock" at $100–200/ton after sorting.

HCT requires shredding only. No washing, no drying, no color sorting, no polymer sorting, no PVC removal, no PET removal. The water chemistry handles contaminants as part of the reaction (PVC chlorine binds into harmless salts; PET hydrolyzes and the ethylene glycol can donate hydrogen into the process). Estimated pre-processing cost is $10–20 per ton — the lowest of any chemical recycling technology because the chemistry does what sorting infrastructure would otherwise have to do.

HCT pre-processing
$10–20/ton
Shred only · est., not guidance
Pyrolysis pre-processing
$50–150/ton
Wash · sort · dry · densify
Why pyrolysis hasn't worked

Pyrolysis has received more than a decade of venture capital and corporate investment. After all that capital, it processes less than 2% of global plastic waste. The limitations are structural, not execution: it requires clean, sorted feedstock; it produces 15–30% char that must be disposed of; output quality varies run-to-run because the process is thermally indiscriminate. HCT is not a better pyrolysis — it is a different chemistry altogether, addressing exactly the waste fractions pyrolysis cannot touch.